Lets start with a look at the AMOC as this is something which could clearly
affect us here in the UK in an adverse way. Climate drifting to that nearer
to Finland and Norway as the heat transfer from the southern hemisphere
slows down.
Estimates of the rates of change in C02
Decadal (1958–2023)
COâ‚‚ increased from ~315 ppm to ~420 ppm. Rate: ~2 ppm/year.
Century (1900–2000)
COâ‚‚ increased from ~295 ppm to ~370 ppm. Rate: ~0.75 ppm/year.
Millennial (1000–2000)
COâ‚‚ increased from ~280 ppm to ~370 ppm. Rate: ~0.09 ppm/year.
Measurement methods
Decadal measurements are taken from dramatically made at the Mauna Loa
Observatory in Hawaii and the South Pole. The data is collected by the
Scripps Institution of Oceanography and the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The data is then processed by the
Global Monitoring Laboratory. The timeframe for this is since 1958 when
continuous monitoring commenced.https://flip.it/xyyKvu
For the century and millennial measurements, ice core data is used.
Calculation: Analyze COâ‚‚ concentrations from ice core layers dated using
techniques like layer counting or isotopic analysis. Calculate the rate of
change over centuries or millennia by averaging trends over those periods.
For example: Over the past 1,000 years, COâ‚‚ levels rose from ~280 ppm to
~420 ppm, giving an average rate of ~0.14 ppm/year.